Tuesday, November 29, 2022

Steelman Putin's War

If we assume Putin isn't failing, what is his objective? Is there a coherent hypothetical strategy?

Simple: generating veterans.

The longer the "war" continues, the more battle-hardened soldiers he gets. Easily worth whatever it's costing him. 

"Why the conscription?"

The experience farming was going so well he decided to expand the program. He has a bunch of folk he wants battle ready and he's giving them a taste of the fight. Ukraine offers a nice soft target and an excuse to keep the kid gloves on.

How wonderfully anti-Christian.
Of course 'hypothesis' is a pretentious way of saying 'guess.' 

There's an issue when it comes time for the final push. If he suddenly changes strategies to playing for keeps, he will need a fig leaf. One of many ways this guess can be refuted: he never changes strategy and genuinely gets bogged down.

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